The reported number of new cases of COVID-19 has a major drawback: it cannot capture the current dynamics of the outbreak, i.e. answer if the outbreak is increasing or decreasing at any given moment in any given place. The delay between time of infection and positive case reported is the culprit in these case statistics. EpiForecasts, a team that is based at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine who focuses on real-time modeling and forecasting of infectious disease outbreaks, seeks to identify changes in the reproduction numbers of COVID-19, accounting specifically for delays in case reporting.
Variations in transmission intensity over time also provide a lens through which we can assess the influence of government measures on curbing the spread of the virus. Unfortunately, here we see EpiForcasts estimates and government responses aligning. For example, Germany not only is experiencing a rapid increase in the reproduction rate, but Germany's government started in mid-April to phase out social distancing and movement restrictions measures.
*Only countries with at least 60 cases reported in a single day are included in the EpiForecast estimates.
Live data and insights on Coronavirus around the world, including detailed statistics for the US, EU, and China — confirmed and recovered cases, deaths, alternative data on economic activities, customer behavior, supply chains, and more.
(3 February 2020) As the World Health Organization has elevated the global public health threat level posed by the coronavirus to 'very high' (China) and 'high' (rest of the world), global economic health is also beginning to suffer. The number of people affected by the coronavirus globally may seem relatively small — just over 14,632 deaths and 335,953 people infected — yet without containment, especially to avoid spread to countries with weaker healthcare systems, the human (and economic) toll could rise rapidly into a full global epidemic. As the second-largest economy in the...
(27 March 2020) The force that is 'global social exclusion' is becoming a fatal event for some businesses that rely on in-person labor force and customers, while for others it is a chance for rapid growth and development of new services lines. As the coronavirus infections curve worldwide has shifted over recent weeks to become still steeper, entire companies have begun switching to remote work operations. Many industries, such as air travel, tourism, and retail are undergoing rapid business model adjustments to soften the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Below we share another...
Prosper Insights & Analytics has 18 years of experience producing market leading monthly survey-based research of consumers' overall confidence. In its most recent survey, Prosper asked consumers about their concerns with regard to the coronavirus pandemic and the related cancellation of major events. You can explore Prosper's latest findings in depth below, but we'll give the spoiler: 82% of US consumers expressed one form of concern or another and believe that they will somehow experience direct consequences of the pandemic. Moreover, for the first time in six months there is...
(Published - April 20, 2020. Data updated - May 26, 2020) A growing number of social protests have swept the United States this month in opposition to measures imposed to slow the spread of the coronavirus. Protesters seek policy changes to restart state economies and are providing fresh political opportunities that President Trump has reframed via Twitter as an imperative to 'LIBERATE' US states from COVID-19 restrictions. In the week spanning 13-19 April 2020, we estimate that approximately 9,000 people left their homes to participate in protests and demand state governors relax...
Our website uses cookies to improve your online experience. They were placed on your computer when you launched this website. You can change your personal cookie settings through your internet browser settings.
Privacy Policy